Here is a cool little informative video about why the social security is woefully ineffective in stopping fraud and identity theft.
Category: Fraud Reporting
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Auto Lending Fraud Infographic
I created this handy little Auto Loan Fraud Infographic to explain how auto lending fraud works and why criminals are so interested in it.
Why do fraudsters love committing fraud? Because not only can they get the car for free, they can ship it to Asia and sell it 3 or 4 times the value that it is worth in the US.
Table of Auto Flip Prices for cars shipped to Asia (From Auto Finance News Article)
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Canada is Close to Wiping Out Skimming Fraud
While American’s are getting hit with more card fraud than ever, it appears that our friendly neighbors in Canada figured out what to do about it a long time ago. It appears that when Canadians decided to put Chip’s on their cards way back in 2008, they had the right idea because it has worked like a charm.
Lowest Debit Card Fraud in Recorded History
Interac Canada reported this week that in 2016 Debit Card Fraud losses recorded their lowest fraud loss in history. There was only $1.4 million worth of skimming fraud on debit cards in the whole country of Canada. There was an additional 9 million in skimming fraud that occurred outside of Canada (most of that in the US).
That means that Chip Card deployment in Canada has reduced skimming fraud by 90% since it’s height in 2009.
It Took 7 Years To Rollout Chip Card, But it Paid Off
It took Canada 7 years to fully roll out Chip cards but it was well worth the effort. Most of that time was getting all the merchant terminals upgraded. In 2016, 99% of terminals in Canada were Chip Readers. By comparison, less than 50% of merchants have upgraded their terminals.
By comparison, less than 50% of merchants in the US have upgraded their terminals.
It’s important to remember how bad fraud was in Canada for most of the last decade. Canada consistently ranked as one of the highest card fraud regions in the world and banks struggled to keep it in check.
Bravo to Canadians for killing Skimming fraud!
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3 Recent Reports That Have Fraud Experts Puzzled
There are 3 recent fraud reports that have left fraud experts scratching their heads and wondering if everything they know about fraud is wrong.
Fraud is a cat and mouse game and experts that have been in the industry long enough know that fraudsters move quickly to the weakest link in the chain. They like to expose holes and if you close one, they will just move to another.
Which is what makes the 3 recent reports most puzzling. If the reports are correct, then fraud hasn’t shifted as we would have expected.
Well here the reports, judge for yourselves.
#1 Visa and MasterCard Report That Gas Station Activity is Low Risk
In December, both Visa and Mastercard reported that they would be delaying the EMV (Chip Card) requirement for 3 years. The reason? Because Gas Stations were low risk and the cost to implement Chip cards would be high.
Wait a second. Gas stations are low risk? When did that happen?
Last time I checked, not only were Gas Stations the largest point of compromise for skimming but they were the highest risk merchant location for pre-testing cards. Gas station activity has been closely monitored for years because it is so highly correlated to big fraud purchases which are made minutes after the initial test.
But the biggest issue with this report itself was that it was used to delay Chip implementation at gas stations by 3 years. If gas station activity was in fact low risk, what do you think will happen after all the other merchants implement and they are the weakest link?
#2 Visa Report That There Has Been No Increase in CNP Due To Chip Card
In every region of the world, CNP losses increase after the implementation of Chip Cards. That’s because fraudsters need somewhere to use those stolen card numbers and with Chip cards, counterfeiting a card is nearly impossible.
Here check out an example in the UK. You can see how CNP fraud doubled after Chip cards were implemented.
Which is why experts were so surprised last week when they read that Visa is reporting zero increase in CNP fraud in the US after Chip cards were implemented over 1 year ago.
However, according to Visa, there has been no increase in the rate of card-not-present fraud.
“We’re not seeing an increase in the rate of online only fraud,” said Stephanie Ericksen, vice president of risk and authentication products at Visa International.
But they might be the only ones.
Javelin, ThreatMetrix, NuData and almost every online merchant that I talk to is reporting big increases in CNP fraud all through last year. If the Visa report is true, most of the merchants would very much disagree with their findings.
#3 NACHA Report That There Has Been No Increase in Fraud with Same Day ACH
Faster payments, Faster fraud. That has been the age-old fact of how fraud works. But apparently, this has not happened with Same Day ACH.
Nacha is reporting zero increase in fraud due to same-day ACH. This came as quite a surprise to most as there had been an expectation of increased fraud with the rollout.
As it turns out however, the rollout just occurred 3 months ago, and doesn’t include debit transactions which are expected to be rolled out later this year.
I would say, let’s wait and see on this one.
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NACHA Reports Zero Increase in Fraud with Same Day ACH
Nacha is reporting that there has been zero increase in fraud after the much-feared launch of Same Day ACH in September of last year.
The report comes after Nacha survey 23 financial institutions about their experience with Same Day ACH. 100% of those banks reported no increase in fraud. And it’s not for lack of same-day ACH traffic, in fact same-day ACH volume is robust.
Apparently, 1 in 3 banks are experiencing a higher volume of ACH transactions than they had originally anticipated with most of the request coming from new payroll processing and one-time requests.
Results of the Survey Were Positive Indicating Payments Were Effective and Safe
NACHA is pleased with the results of the survey and feels that the service proves that it is a safe and effective payment method. In fact, they reported that there is no reason to believe that this would follow the same rocky fraud path that UK banks experienced when they launched faster payments in 2008.
NACHA indicated that careful rollout of the program over 18 months and fraud controls like limiting transaction amounts to < $25,000 are a big part of the success.
We are encouraged by the results of the survey, which validates that Same Day ACH is an effective, beneficial and safe faster payments solutions that is meeting — and, in some cases, exceeding — the expectations of its users,” reflected NACHA President and CEO Janet O. Estep in a statement. “We are pleased to see that the vast majority of receiving financial institutions are delivering added benefit to their corporate customers now by providing transaction information to them after each of the three processing windows.
Zero Increase Might Be Short-Lived But Possible
It is possible that there will be zero increase with same-day ACH, but that would certainly be counter to what every other region in the world has experienced after rolling out their versions of faster payments.
I for one was one of the people predicting an uptick in ACH fraud and for the moment have been proven wrong. You can read my article on it here – 5 Fraud Schemes That Will Probably Hurt You With Same Day ACH.
I guess I might have overestimated the fraudsters.
This was a survey however and not necessarily based on fraud reporting. And we have to keep in mind the service was only launched 5 months ago. It took fraudsters 10 years or more before they fully realized the security holds at card issuers back in the 80’s and 90’s so it might be a little early to claim there is no risk to same-day ACH.
We’ll keep our fingers crossed that things stay under control! But I wouldn’t bet the farm on it.
Thanks for reading!
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Auto Finance – Auto Loan Fraud Set to Double in 2017
An article by William Hoffman in Auto Finance News reports Auto Lending Fraud is set to double. Here is the article in its entirety.
Consumer fraud in auto lending could double in 2017, compared with the year prior, in large part due to prevailing trends in the finance industry, said Tim Grace, chief executive of Point Predictive.
This week, the risk management company published a white paper that foresees auto fraud losses reaching as high $4 to $6 billion in 2017, compared with $2 to $3 billion in 2015. The report does reveal that uncollectible auto loans were over $1.1 billion in the final quarter of 2016, but does not provide figures for the year in full. Still, the 2017 projections would represent “twice” the amount of fraud perpetrated in 2016, Grace told AFN.
It’s possible some of the increase is due to a change in how Point Predictive identifies fraud, but Grace believes that’s just one of a combinations of factors including overall growth in the industry, lender’s moving into subprime, and technology making fraudulent activity easier.
“We are seeing more fraud because we are doing more risky lending,” Grace said. “Like any industry, there is a better recognition of it as well. But, pre-recession, there wasn’t as much fraud, and across all industries fraud is becoming much more prevalent, easier to miss fraud, and increasingly reliant on things like fake pay stubs — which were very hard to do 10-to-12 years ago.”
Although partner names could not be provided, two of the top five lenders — as well as 17 ranked in the top 30 — are working with Point Predictive to address this fraud that has gone unnoticed, Frank Mckenna, chief fraud strategist at the company said.
Growth in the industry has also pushed some lenders more towards risky subprime borrowers, who are more likely to perpetrate fraud, he said. On the other hand, big banks have largely pulled out of subprime, and that is causing some dealers to get “more desperate” and push riskier borrowers onto other lenders, he added.
Only 3% of dealerships nationwide are involved in fraudulent behavior, but for some auto portfolios it can make up as much as 10% of a lender’s volume, Grace said.
Sharing data could make a big difference in how the industry addresses fraud, but “the auto industry is really new to this concept,” Grace added.
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Fraud Continues Unprecedented Climb Higher
Are we at the beginning or end of a dramatic spike in fraud across all industries? It might be open for debate but clearly, all signs are pointing to the fact that we may be in the very early stages of a long and treacherous climb upward.
I reviewed the Top 10 Reported Fraud Losses last month and determined not only were reported losses higher in 2016, but that fraud losses across all 10 types of fraud would continue to increase through 2017.
Javelin Research Concludes Fraud is Up Everywhere
Javelin Research just published results of their recent fraud survey and analysis and determined that fraud exposure was higher than ever. In fact, Identity Theft in 2016 reached it’s highest reported level in history as 15.4 million US consumers reported becoming a victim.
Other key conclusions they reached were:
- 1 in 16 American’s were victims of Identity Theft last year (That’s up 6% over the prior year)
- $16 Billion in identity theft losses occurred last year
- While the rate is higher than ever, the losses have dropped considerably down from a high of $22 Billion in 2012.
While there were some glimmers of good news, the conclusion’s reached by Javelin were mostly bad.
Anywhere we looked, we saw that there was just more fraud,” said Al Pascual, head of fraud and security at Javelin.
With so many industry statistics and experts all siding with the opinion that fraud losses are bad and getting worse, it’s difficult to see a path were 2017 improves that much from last year.
3 Big Drivers Account for The Problem
There are 3 big drivers pushing fraud to its highest level. These are the 3 reasons why fraud is at it’s highest level and will continue it’s unprecedented climb higher.
#1 – Data Breaches and Fraud Industrialization – In a connected world, data breaches have become commonplace. Data is being stolen at an unprecedented pace and it is being monetized quickly on the dark web. Fraud has become an industry. An efficient industry where fraudsters focus on boosting the profits each year.
#2 – Banking Convenience – Banks and Fintech companies are rushing to provide more and more convenience. This convenience delights customers but also delights fraudsters and scam artist who have a growing array of methods to defraud customers. Years ago, checks were the only way to steal from customers, now there are dozens of ways to get money from a customer’s bank account.
#3 – Competition – Banks are being pushed into riskier markets and lending. As they push into new and riskier markets and products, their risk profile increases. This competition is driving riskier behavior which fraudsters take advantage of.
Up Up and Away
I truly believe we are in the infancy of fraud globally. The losses that we experience today are but a fraction of what we will see in 20 years. We could and might be dealing with Trillions of Dollars in fraud in 20 years not billions.
Thanks for reading!
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Auto Lending Fraud Estimated at $6 Billion for 2017
Auto Lending Fraud is a fraud dominated by systematic dealer fraud, fraud rings and early payment default.
With 2016 auto lending originations soaring to historically high levels, the downstream impacts are now revealing themselves in higher fraud losses. PointPredictive estimates the annual value of auto loan originations that contain some element of misrepresentation may be as high as $6 billion in 2017, which is twice as much as 2016 estimates.
Known and Unknown Fraud
The cost of auto lending fraud does hit the bottom line of banks and lenders but it may not always be categorized or recognized as a fraud loss. In the case of auto lending fraud, there is both Known Fraud and Unknown Fraud.Known Fraud and Unknown Hidden Fraud
Known Fraud – Some fraud is identified either before an auto loan is originated or shortly afterward when a borrower notifies tafterwardof identity theft or a lender discovers the fraud in their collections process
Known fraud is more common than you might expect and is present on approximately 0.30% (30 basis points) of originated application volume.
Unknown Fraud – Some fraud is never identified – not during the application process and not even after a loan has been funded and defaults. This fraud, in most cases, results in early or first payment default where the borrower never makes a payment on their loan after they walk out of the dealership.
Data and investigative analysis of early payment default loans indicate that between 40% and 70% of those loans have significant misrepresentation on the original loan application which led to the financial loss.
Primary Fraud Categories
Based on analysis of application data and loan servicing data by industry fraud experts, PointPredictive breaks down fraud losses in three distinct categories:
Early Payment Default Fraud – Loans that default within the first 6 months have a much higher probability of containing material misrepresentations in the original loan application than loans that default later. PointPredictive analysis suggests that 40% to 70% of early payment defaults have some element of misrepresentation in the initial application that led to the loss. The range depends on the lender’s pre-application fraud controls as well as the underlying risk of the loan program itself.
Dealer Fraud – Auto lenders, particularly those concentrating in non-prime lending, experience high levels of losses that can be tied back to specific dealers. Some dealers have extremely high levels of early payment default, known fraud and bad loan quality that leads to losses. These losses may not always be categorized as fraud. However, through careful retrospective analysis, lenders often determine that many of the losses they take are due to intentional misrepresentation are clearly the result of a systemic, organized attacks originating from within the dealers’ finance organizations.
PointPredictive analysis has determined that, for some lenders, virtually 100% of their fraud losses are associated with fewer than 3% of their dealers and nearly 100% of their early payment default losses come from just 10% of their dealers.
Known Fraud and Misrepresentation – Most auto lenders do have some tracking systems in place for fraud losses; however, that rarely provides a complete picture of their losses since so much fraud is hidden. Identity Theft, Straw Borrower, Collateral and Dealer Fraud are generally the most common categories of fraud losses that lenders experience.
Known fraud and misrepresentation levels can vary from lender to lender based on their pre- and post-funding fraud controls as well as the level of reporting that they do concerning fraud. On average, PointPredictive finds that a lender’s known fraud is approximately 0.30% (30 basis points) of originated volume.
WhitePaper Available
I can send you a copy of the full whitepaper. Send me a contact email to [email protected] and I will send it to you.
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Counterfeit Card Fraud Drops 52% in 2016
Visa announced this week that counterfeit fraud is down 52% for 2016 at merchants that have deployed their Chip Card terminals. The rapid adoption of Chip-enabled terminals at US merchants continued at an astonishing clip with over 1 million new merchants installing the terminals.
That raises the figure to over 1.8 million merchants accepting Chip cards that processed close to 1 billion Chip Card transactions.
That is great news and shows the power of Chip card in reducing counterfeit losses. But it does raise questions. For example, why is fraud only down 52% at merchants that have deployed Chip terminals? I would have thought it would be far greater since it promised to virtually wipe out card-present counterfeit fraud.
Card Not Present However, Doubled
Counterfeit fraud is down. That is the good news. But the bad news is that dollar for dollar it looks like it all shifted to online fraud.
Online retailers are reporting massive increases in fraud rates for card not present transactions.
The Global Fraud Index published by Forter shows a massive uptick in the level of online fraud losses.
From 2015 to 2016, fraudsters have been working overtime racking up more fraud attempts on a rate basis than we have seen for many years. The Global Fraud Index shows a whopping 386% increase in dollars at risk per $100 of sales.
It’s a big game of whack a mole and you can drive fraud down in one place but it will just appear somewhere else.
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First American Fraud Index Shows Mortgage Fraud Up 10%
First American released their latest Application Defect Index and their conclusion is that Mortgage Fraud Risk has increased 10% in the last year.
These results are remarkably consistent with CoreLogic’s Fraud Analysis which suggested that mortgage fraud had increased by 15% – I wrote about that here – CoreLogic Fraud Index. CoreLogic believes that the fraud rate of mortgage applications is currently running at 70 basis points which given the lower application volumes would equate to about 10 billion in mortgage fraud expected for 2017.
Mark Fleming, Chief Economist for First American, points out that the defect analysis is primarily increasing due to a purchase-dominated market. He also concludes though that the trend toward – Day 1 Certainty and use of automated verification tools will likely bring down the level of risk over 2017.
This month, the Loan Application Defect Index moved modestly higher on increases in risk for purchase and refinance applications, in combination with the continuing shift toward a purchase-dominated market,” said Mark Fleming, chief economist at First American. “One month’s change doesn’t necessarily signal a trend, but it bears watching to see if defect risk rises again next month. However, the prospect of rising loan application defect risk may be countered in 2017 by the market’s continued adoption of validation tools early in the loan application process, which create more certainty in application data.”
Mortgage Hot Spots
In addition to analyzing the trends of fraud, First American has identified hot spots in the country with the highest rate of application fraud risk.
Those can be seen here in these charts provided by First American – Loan Defect Analysis.
Mortgage Fraud Risk Reducing Since 2011
One of the more interesting insights from the report is just how much lower defect rates are since 2011.
The index clearly shows that fraud risk has reduced about 20% since 20111. Remember the peak risk was in 2008 when the mortgage market meltdown occurred. Fraud has reduced some 50% since that time.
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Mortgage Application Fraud Index Rises This Year
CoreLogic released their latest mortgage application fraud index and they report that the mortgage index increased to 122 for the fourth quarter of 2016.
The trend shows increasing risk for the year overall; up from a National Index value of 115 for Q4 2015, and 108 for Q3 2016.
That’s a pretty significant increase. Experts are projecting that the fraud index will continue to increase due to increased purchase vs refinance volumes that are expected this year.
Purchase transactions have inherently more risk since the borrowers often times have no history of payments or occupancy in a particular property that lender can rely on.
This is the second time in less than a week that mortgage fraud is raising alarm bells. Earlier this week, Equifax reported that Canadian Mortgage Fraud was up nearly 52% as home values there increase to historically high levels.
Top Risk Areas of The Country For Mortgage Fraud
CoreLogic detected higher risk activity from the following locations here in the US. You will note Syracuse had a huge spike in application fraud risks which occurred based on a large reverse occupancy fraud scheme in the area.
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Western Union Fined Millions For Not Stopping Fraud
The Consumerist today reported that Western Union will pay over half a billion dollars for not doing enough to stop wire fraud globally. And they were fined primarily because they never listened to their fraud investigators years ago.
I have written in the past that Wire Fraud is the scourge of all fraud against consumers and over $50 billion of it occurs each and every year.
Whether it is lotto scams, fake rentals, fraudulent e-Bay orders, elderly abuse or romance scams, Western Union is almost always the choice of fraudsters payment. They can receive money, anywhere in the world and be out the door in seconds.
Worse yet, Western Union in many cases is being accused of having complicit employees or turning a blind eye to fraud.
Well today, federal authorities slapped an enormous fine of $585 million on Western Union and they admit that their policies — and some of their agents — aided and abetted wire fraud.
Wow.
The Charges Span from 2004 to 2012
The charges were brought by the Justice Department, the Federal Trade Commission, and the Treasury Department’s Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN).
They span activity at Western Union from 2004 through 2012 and occurred globally in US, Mexico, Peru, UK, China and other countries.
Authorities slammed Western Union for money laundering, failing to do due diligence on foreign agents, failure to terminate high-risk locations and failure to implement appropriate fraud policies.
To give you an idea, Western Union filed 2,000 suspicious activity reports from a single location in China without shutting the location down.
A large portion of the $585 million dollar fine will be used to reimburse victims of fraud. If you, or anybody you know, was a victim of fraud where Western Union was used between 2004 and 2012, you can file a claim with the justice department to get reimbursed. Just go this site here – Justice Department Claims.
Western Union Failed to Listen to Their Fraud Investigators
Western Union investigators had made a recommendation as far back as 2004 to shut down any high-risk location that 15 or more suspicious activity reports. They felt that if a location had that many SAR’s they were too risky and either they were being attacked by money launderers or money mules or they were complicit in the activity.
Well, the investigators had identified the location in China as very risky and requested that executives shut it down but the decision was made to continue the relationship. Western Union failed to adhere to their 15 SAR report policy.
Another example of how not listening to your fraud investigators can get you into a whole lot of trouble!
Western Union could have avoided today’s messy settlement (and the substantial financial penalty) if it had just listened to its own security people more than a decade ago. In 2004, the company’s Corporate Security Department proposed global guidelines would have automatically suspended any agent involved in 15 fraud reports within a six-month period. Those guidelines were not adopted at the time.
Failure to Implement Most Basic Controls
It appears that according to the charges that Western Union was not implementing even the most basic controls to detect, investigate and terminate systematic fraud.
Western Union of course downplays the problem saying they have all their fraud issues fixed. Sure they have.
Thanks for Reading! I hate to see when companies don’t listen to their fraud investigators.
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Top 10 Fraud Types for 2017 Based on Losses
It was a bad year for fraud. A very bad year. Maybe the worst as I had written about in this article – Why Fraud is Worse Now Than Ever in History.
I spent the last several weeks researching the Top 10 Banking Fraud losses here in the US based on 2016. I wanted to understand where the most money is being lost due to payments and lending and where fraud was headed for 2017.
Here are the Top 10 Banking Fraud Types and The Associated Annual Losses
Based on industry estimates, here are the top 10 types of fraud based on industry estimates for 2016. The top 10 fraud types alone account for $181 Billion in annual losses. And the numbers will keep increasing across most fraud types for 2017.
#1 – Wire Fraud – $50 Billion (Estimates based on FBI, Industry Reports and Fraud Executive Interviews)
Wire Fraud is booming due to extremely successful phishing and CEO impersonation attacks as well as ongoing romance, eBay and other fraud schemes that bilk consumers on a daily basis.
Add to this, the fact that wire fraud losses are instantaneous and usually untraceable back to a perpetrator, and this type of fraud is one of the most damaging. Wire fraud losses are big, averaging about $63,000 per occurrence and can run as high as $1 million dollars. In 2016, close to $1 billion in wire fraud was perpetrated on a single night when hackers infiltrated the SWIFT network and requested money transfers to foreign bank accounts.
Oh, also one more important thing – wire fraud is often not reported because banks don’t take the loss – customers do. So $50 billion in losses might just be the tip of the iceberg.
You can expect Wire Fraud to increase again this year. It’s just too lucrative and successful for fraudsters to go away anytime soon.
#2 – Online Retail Fraud – $32 Billion (Juniper Research)
Online Fraud rates at retail merchants doubled in 2016, thanks to those little chip cards on your credit card. All those breached cards sitting on the dark web were useless unless the fraudsters could figure out an alternative way to cash in on them. Guess what? They did.
You can expect retail fraud to continue its upward trajectory in 2017 as retailers struggle to update their strategies to cope with it.
#3 – Card Fraud – $28 Billion (Nilson Report)
Card fraud globally is increasing. And it’s not just because card issuance is increasing and cards are more popular than ever. It’s because fraud is actually outpacing growth. The fraudsters are just getting better at using these cards in ways that card issuers and merchants can’t detect right away.
You can expect card fraud to continue its upward move. Well, even Nilson projects that card fraud will be $31 Billion.
#4 – Mortgage Fraud – $20 Billion (CoreLogic Fraud Index Estimate)
Mortgage fraud occurs when borrowers, brokers or appraisers lie about something in the application. The mortgage industry is so spooked by fraud, they don’t even call it that. They call it “misrepresentation” which is a very nice and kind way to refer to fraud.
In any case, fraud and misrepresentation risk are high in mortgage and it ranks #4 of all fraud types.
Expect mortgage fraud to stay flat this year. While volumes will be down, purchase volumes will comprise a higher percentage of all deals and they are higher risk.
#5 – First Party Fraud – $17 Billion (TSYS Report, FICO Reports)
When customers open accounts or loans with no intention of repaying them or committing devious transactions to steal from the bank they are committing First Party Fraud.
Since customers never like to admit to being First Party Fraudsters, these annual losses have been estimated by firms like TSYS and FICO who have experience tracking abnormal behaviors of people that either don’t pay their loans or go way, way over limit on their accounts.
Expect First Party Fraud to increase in 2017, particularly since lending programs are getting progressively riskier. Did I mention First Party Fraudster’s love it when banks are generous with their new loan programs?
Did I mention First Party Fraudster’s love it when banks are generous with their new loan programs?
#6 – Identity Fraud – $15 Billion (Javelin Research)
Identity fraud has, and probably always will rank in the top 10 fraud types. Fraudsters have bad credit typically. So they need to use someone else’s to con banks out of money. Identity fraud spiked up in 2016, primarily due to IRS Tax Refund Fraud and the re-emergence of New Account fraud at card issuers and banks. Identity fraud was another product of fraudsters shifting their behavior after chip cards were implemented in the US.
Identity fraud spiked up in 2016, primarily due to IRS Tax Refund Fraud and the re-emergence of New Account fraud at card issuers and banks. Identity fraud was another product of fraudsters shifting their behavior after chip cards were implemented in the US.
I expect Identity Fraud to continue increasing this year as EMV continues it’s rollout here in the US.
#7 – Check Fraud – $7 Billion (ABA)
Good old-fashioned paper checks. Your grandma still uses them. And inevitably, the people that are right in front of you at the check out stands at the grocery stores.
Fraudsters still love them and write billion of dollars in fraudulent checks a year. The more banks think this fraud is going away, the more the fraudsters prove them wrong. The ABA estimates about $7 billion a year in checks but they also admit banks stop about $6 billion of those from ever getting paid.
You can expect Check Fraud to increase in 2017 because mobile phones are increasing the risk of fraudulently deposited checks. In fact, there was close to $1 billion of duplicate deposit fraud checks last year.
#8 – Auto Lending Fraud – $6 Billion (PointPredictive)
This is one near and dear to my heart. Auto Lending fraud happens when borrowers or dealers lie about the income, employment, collateral value or identity during the application process.
And given the fact that there was over $1 trillion in auto loans last year submitted by over 100,000 dealers here the fraud risk run high. Auto fraud can run as high as 50 to 200 basis points based on the lender’s portfolio.
Expect auto lending fraud to increase next year due to increasing interest rates, rising car prices and more competition in the market.
#9 – Account Takeover – $5 Billion (Javelin Research and others)
Account Takeover fraud is a big and growing problem. The Auriemma Group reported a whopping 280% in Account Takeover last year – you can read about that here.
Account Takeover is being driven by huge credentialing breaches at Yahoo, and Linkedin. Since 50% of consumers use the same credentials across all of their online sites, fraudsters have been able to use brute force attacks to takeover their online banking accounts.
You can expect a huge increase in Account Takeover in 2017. I feel like this is the year that it is going to explode and reach epidemic levels.
#10 – ACH Fraud – $1 Billion (FBI and Industry Estimates)
ACH fraud is highly underestimated. Banks typically do not report on ACH fraud independently and often categorize it under account takeover or online banking fraud.
In any case, while ACH fraud is low (about $1 billion estimated), I believe it is the sleeping giant. Since ACH is moving to same day settlement many fraudsters will be shifting from Wire fraud request to ACH request which can be more cleverly hidden in payroll batches and are often not subject nearly the same level of scrutiny that banks do on their wire transfers.
Look for this fraud to boom in 2017.
Mostly Bad News For Banks
As you can clearly see, 2016 was a bad year for banking fraud and 2017 is projected to get worse.
I think we’re entering a new phase of risk management that really requires a very adaptive approach which will allow you to respond much more quickly and effectively to changing trends.
Thanks for reading!
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25 Most Popular Passwords. Warning – Do Not Use These.
Keeper Security has performed an analysis of compromised hacked data and made some startling conclusions. American’s use really dumb passwords with alarming regularity. In fact, 17% of accounts are protected with the stupidest password of all ‘123456″. It’s hard to believe that 1 in 5 accounts in the US are protected with something so simple.
The analysis conducted on information from 10 million breached accounts showed that the following passwords were most commonly found in the dataset.
KeeperSecurity made the following conclusions about these dumb passwords:
- The list of most-frequently used passwords has changed little over the past few years.. That means that user education has limits. While it’s important for users to be aware of risks, a sizable minority are never going to take the time or effort to protect themselves. IT administrators and website operators must do the job for them.
- Four of the top 10 passwords on the list – and seven of the top 15 – are six characters or shorter. This is stunning in light of the fact that, as we’ve reported, today’s brute-force cracking software and hardware can unscramble those passwords in seconds. Website operators that permit such flimsy protection are either reckless or lazy.
- The presence of passwords like “1q2w3e4r” and “123qwe” indicates that some users attempt to use unpredictable patterns to secure passwords, but their efforts are weak at best. Dictionary-based password crackers know to look for sequential key variations. At best, it sets them back only a few seconds.
- Email providers don’t appear to be working all that hard to prevent the use of their services for spam. Security expert Graham Cluley believes that the presence of seemingly random passwords such as “18atcskd2w” and “3rjs1la7qe” on the list indicates that bots use these codes over and over when they set up dummy accounts on public email services for spam and phishing attacks. Email providers could do everyone a favor by flagging this kind of repetition and reporting the guilty parties.
I Fell Victim to Dumb Passwords
2 years ago I fell victim to dumb passwords and had to delete 2 websites because of it. I had a team out of India do a couple of blogs for me I forgot to change the default login’s they setup for me on my wordpress accounts:
- UserName – Admin
- Password – Admin123
Anybody familiar with brute force attacks will tell you that the combination of that username and password are probably the first combinations the BotNets will try.
2 of my websites were so compromised that I could not even clean them and I ended up deleting the sites costing me hundreds of hours of work and thousands of dollars.
I learned the hard way that dumb passwords have bad consequences.
50% of Consumers Re-Use Passwords Across Their Online Accounts
50% of consumers use the same password on their Facebook accounts, that they do on their Linkedin accounts and other services such as Uber, Amazon and Netflix.
This is a real bad idea. A horrible idea actually, which puts consumers at heightened risk of identity theft, banking fraud and online fraud. How bad of an idea is it? I would suggest you read this excellent article by Naked Security that analyzes the risk that consumers take on when they engage in this practice.
If you are using any of the passwords on America’s Dumbest Password list I suggest you change it.